Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#13
Expected Predictive Rating+19.1#9
Pace70.6#129
Improvement+1.6#116

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#32
First Shot+5.0#43
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#73
Layup/Dunks+1.7#117
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#155
Freethrows+3.5#6
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense+9.9#8
First Shot+7.6#13
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#6
Layups/Dunks+5.2#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#226
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#45
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+1.7#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.2% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 11.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 95.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round87.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen54.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight21.8% n/a n/a
Final Four8.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game3.1% n/a n/a
National Champion1.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6.0 - 4.06.0 - 4.0
Quad 1b2.0 - 1.08.0 - 5.0
Quad 26.0 - 1.014.0 - 6.0
Quad 36.0 - 1.020.0 - 7.0
Quad 47.0 - 0.027.0 - 7.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 28   Florida W 81-60 72%     1 - 0 +31.3 +13.0 +17.8
  Nov 11, 2018 282   @ Tulane W 80-69 96%     2 - 0 +6.9 +3.3 +3.1
  Nov 19, 2018 268   Canisius W 93-61 98%     3 - 0 +23.0 +11.2 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2018 147   UAB W 81-63 91%     4 - 0 +19.4 +3.1 +15.2
  Nov 23, 2018 18   LSU W 79-76 OT 55%     5 - 0 +18.1 +7.3 +10.6
  Nov 25, 2018 24   Villanova L 60-66 60%     5 - 1 +7.6 +0.6 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2018 10   Purdue W 73-72 56%     6 - 1 +15.9 +1.8 +14.1
  Dec 03, 2018 249   Troy W 83-67 98%     7 - 1 +7.9 -4.5 +10.7
  Dec 08, 2018 107   Connecticut W 79-71 86%     8 - 1 +12.6 -0.3 +12.0
  Dec 17, 2018 317   Southeast Missouri St. W 85-68 99%     9 - 1 +4.7 +6.3 -1.6
  Dec 19, 2018 189   North Florida W 95-81 96%     10 - 1 +9.4 +12.6 -4.2
  Dec 22, 2018 102   Saint Louis W 81-59 86%     11 - 1 +26.7 +10.6 +15.4
  Jan 01, 2019 190   Winthrop W 87-76 96%     12 - 1 +6.4 +0.8 +4.5
  Jan 05, 2019 2   @ Virginia L 52-65 19%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +12.8 -3.5 +14.9
  Jan 09, 2019 66   Miami (FL) W 68-62 86%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +10.9 -1.4 +12.5
  Jan 12, 2019 3   Duke L 78-80 37%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +17.8 +12.5 +5.3
  Jan 14, 2019 93   @ Pittsburgh L 62-75 78%     13 - 4 1 - 3 -4.9 -4.3 -0.8
  Jan 20, 2019 106   @ Boston College L 82-87 80%     13 - 5 1 - 4 +2.4 +10.7 -8.3
  Jan 22, 2019 29   Clemson W 77-68 73%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +19.0 +14.8 +4.5
  Jan 27, 2019 66   @ Miami (FL) W 78-66 71%     15 - 5 3 - 4 +22.5 +15.6 +7.8
  Feb 02, 2019 100   Georgia Tech W 59-49 90%     16 - 5 4 - 4 +12.0 -6.5 +19.0
  Feb 05, 2019 33   @ Syracuse W 80-62 57%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +32.5 +13.4 +18.6
  Feb 09, 2019 19   Louisville W 80-75 OT 66%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +17.1 +11.1 +5.8
  Feb 13, 2019 153   Wake Forest W 88-66 94%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +20.1 +17.6 +3.4
  Feb 16, 2019 100   @ Georgia Tech W 69-47 80%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +29.6 -0.1 +28.6
  Feb 19, 2019 29   @ Clemson W 77-64 53%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +28.5 +14.7 +13.8
  Feb 23, 2019 4   @ North Carolina L 59-77 22%     21 - 6 9 - 5 +6.3 -2.9 +9.3
  Feb 25, 2019 77   Notre Dame W 68-61 88%     22 - 6 10 - 5 +10.5 +2.0 +9.0
  Mar 02, 2019 31   North Carolina St. W 78-73 74%     23 - 6 11 - 5 +14.6 +7.9 +6.6
  Mar 05, 2019 12   Virginia Tech W 73-64 OT 61%     24 - 6 12 - 5 +22.6 +8.5 +14.4
  Mar 09, 2019 153   @ Wake Forest W 65-57 88%     25 - 6 13 - 5 +11.7 -1.5 +13.7
  Mar 14, 2019 12   Virginia Tech W 65-63 OT 50%     26 - 6 +18.4 +0.7 +17.7
  Mar 15, 2019 2   Virginia W 69-59 26%     27 - 6 +33.0 +19.9 +15.1
  Mar 16, 2019 3   Duke L 63-73 27%     27 - 7 +12.6 +2.0 +10.5
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 1.2 10.1 45.8 38.8 4.1 0.1 100.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 1.2 10.1 45.8 38.8 4.1 0.1 100.0%